Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-05-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8 86 1
FY ice 9 8234 761
MY ice 0 7396 12413
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17 93 11
FY ice 47 4790 2027
MY ice 26 6183 12731
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 25 60 19
FY ice 23 4486 5199
MY ice 17 4402 16200
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 135 8
FY ice 44 4492 4717
MY ice 18 4521 15204
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 137 10
FY ice 44 4524 4504
MY ice 17 4487 15415

Date: 2014-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 9 0
FY ice 84 4431 3981
MY ice 30 4648 8394
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 9 0
FY ice 76 4539 3855
MY ice 38 4540 8520

Date: 2014-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 178 123 0
FY ice 173 7852 546
MY ice 106 7586 10630
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82 151 0
FY ice 204 7756 590
MY ice 171 7654 10586

Date: 2014-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 287 69 0
FY ice 144 4024 1871
MY ice 105 5106 11062
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 186 63 0
FY ice 196 4172 1786
MY ice 154 4964 11147

Date: 2014-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 278 1 1
FY ice 215 107 2700
MY ice 66 842 8419
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 158 1 0
FY ice 273 122 2546
MY ice 128 827 8574


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