Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-05-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83650 1077 32
FY ice 227 41337 1301
MY ice 0 12567 15381
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83986 1085 60
FY ice 321 37467 2577
MY ice 26 11033 16131
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84405 1378 29
FY ice 122 37327 5685
MY ice 17 9412 19674
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84570 1341 15
FY ice 247 36317 5272
MY ice 18 9239 18644
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84564 1377 17
FY ice 254 36119 5054
MY ice 17 9401 18860

Date: 2014-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 69926 18 0
FY ice 134 28146 4082
MY ice 30 7046 8394
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 69920 22 0
FY ice 132 28148 3956
MY ice 38 7040 8520

Date: 2014-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85738 943 38
FY ice 321 38951 1412
MY ice 106 12542 13977
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85496 878 110
FY ice 498 38772 1425
MY ice 171 12786 13892

Date: 2014-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85912 749 43
FY ice 276 34968 2409
MY ice 105 9752 14820
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85613 740 107
FY ice 526 34933 2276
MY ice 154 9796 14889

Date: 2014-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85687 14 156
FY ice 491 825 3751
MY ice 76 1052 11506
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85432 14 273
FY ice 685 843 3455
MY ice 137 1034 11685


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