Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-04-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 31 6377 2623
MY ice 0 4378 18181
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 2 6460 2571
MY ice 0 4461 17784
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 6746 2471
MY ice 0 4806 16710
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 3 7051 2268
MY ice 0 4978 15825
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 3 7012 2288
MY ice 0 5017 15805

Date: 2014-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 39 3 0
FY ice 73 7338 2031
MY ice 5 5028 15875
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 50 4 0
FY ice 65 7314 2063
MY ice 2 5051 15843

Date: 2014-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6 0 0
FY ice 65 7088 2068
MY ice 15 4652 16060
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7 0 0
FY ice 61 6969 2047
MY ice 18 4771 16081

Date: 2014-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 1 0
FY ice 28 7599 2035
MY ice 5 4880 16311
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 30 1
FY ice 23 7579 2060
MY ice 7 4871 16285

Date: 2014-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8 86 1
FY ice 9 8234 761
MY ice 0 7396 12413
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5 73 1
FY ice 11 8112 804
MY ice 1 7531 12370


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