Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-04-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82897 715 61
FY ice 386 37094 4478
MY ice 0 7737 23355
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82344 858 47
FY ice 485 37304 4321
MY ice 0 8466 22352
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 81812 940 24
FY ice 153 38536 3707
MY ice 0 8684 22003
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83317 749 10
FY ice 302 37091 4010
MY ice 2 7888 22371
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83324 791 10
FY ice 296 36398 4457
MY ice 1 8539 21924

Date: 2014-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82588 819 40
FY ice 378 37267 3944
MY ice 2 7818 22450
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82590 874 46
FY ice 374 36698 4382
MY ice 4 8332 22006

Date: 2014-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83056 1015 11
FY ice 215 39323 3479
MY ice 6 7996 21420
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82794 883 22
FY ice 464 38922 3760
MY ice 19 8529 21128

Date: 2014-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82536 1005 29
FY ice 195 39397 2980
MY ice 1 8395 20723
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82338 872 16
FY ice 383 39018 3189
MY ice 11 8907 20527

Date: 2014-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82361 1337 30
FY ice 188 39955 2854
MY ice 5 8492 20170
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82235 1332 31
FY ice 296 39410 3005
MY ice 23 9042 20018


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