Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-03-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84315 341 25
FY ice 1371 39242 3608
MY ice 0 9131 20665
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84118 335 13
FY ice 1747 38745 3562
MY ice 0 9236 21260
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84229 647 21
FY ice 625 38600 3818
MY ice 0 8903 21665
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83336 579 16
FY ice 719 39949 3452
MY ice 0 9312 21785
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83370 735 17
FY ice 685 39707 4033
MY ice 0 9398 21203

Date: 2014-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82957 384 5
FY ice 813 40819 3303
MY ice 0 10137 21338
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83047 526 6
FY ice 723 40670 3870
MY ice 0 10144 20770

Date: 2014-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83549 444 11
FY ice 440 40986 2903
MY ice 0 10609 21388
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82847 530 2
FY ice 1142 41015 3450
MY ice 0 10494 20850

Date: 2014-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83493 513 6
FY ice 366 40658 3074
MY ice 0 11010 21223
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82980 636 3
FY ice 879 40645 3520
MY ice 0 10900 20780

Date: 2014-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82637 641 24
FY ice 676 39889 3659
MY ice 0 10727 20987
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82315 838 26
FY ice 998 39816 3952
MY ice 0 10603 20692


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