Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-02-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84783 475 115
FY ice 768 33803 5338
MY ice 0 6875 22226
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84648 227 41
FY ice 913 34274 6045
MY ice 0 7150 22383
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85601 258 101
FY ice 607 35686 5000
MY ice 0 7646 21799
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84743 564 100
FY ice 646 35417 5074
MY ice 0 8099 21796
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84910 741 176
FY ice 479 35267 5466
MY ice 0 8072 21328

Date: 2014-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84051 386 34
FY ice 1128 37025 4572
MY ice 2 8324 20763
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84321 564 36
FY ice 858 36985 4879
MY ice 2 8186 20454

Date: 2014-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84441 411 15
FY ice 272 37359 4538
MY ice 0 8168 21815
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83710 307 14
FY ice 1003 37303 4985
MY ice 0 8328 21369

Date: 2014-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83943 470 41
FY ice 744 38335 3718
MY ice 0 8512 21387
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83472 434 43
FY ice 1215 38331 4145
MY ice 0 8552 20958

Date: 2014-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84315 341 25
FY ice 1371 39242 3608
MY ice 0 9131 20665
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83888 375 30
FY ice 1798 39364 3856
MY ice 0 8975 20412


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