Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-01-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 4 0
FY ice 77 10614 2545
MY ice 0 2598 17654
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 6 1
FY ice 65 10496 2274
MY ice 0 2644 16955
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 14 0
FY ice 9 10820 2425
MY ice 0 2805 16684
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 11 26
FY ice 17 10595 2376
MY ice 0 2824 16832
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 11 26
FY ice 17 10622 2524
MY ice 0 2797 16684

Date: 2014-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 19 78
FY ice 17 10413 2432
MY ice 0 2596 16741
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 20 85
FY ice 14 10440 2502
MY ice 0 2568 16664

Date: 2014-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 0 0
FY ice 29 10133 2452
MY ice 0 3014 16114
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 10 110
FY ice 29 10160 2520
MY ice 0 2977 15936

Date: 2014-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 2 0
FY ice 18 10113 2276
MY ice 0 2674 16617
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 3 0
FY ice 17 10182 2447
MY ice 0 2604 16446

Date: 2014-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 36 9703 2600
MY ice 0 2521 17413
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 36 9794 2762
MY ice 0 2430 17251


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