Interpretation of results Forecast @+00h Forecast @+24h Forecast @+120h Forecast @+216h

Monitoring results for sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2019-10-10

Areas from SIC differences categories

	Forecast lead time
dSIC	+00h	+24h	+120h	+216h
< -0.25	0.17	0.15	0.14	0.11
-0.25 - -0.05	0.24	0.25	0.25	0.29
-0.05 - -0.005	0.21	0.25	0.28	0.38
0.005 - 0.05	1.87	1.66	1.61	1.69
0.05 - 0.25	2.05	2.34	2.54	2.63
> 0.25	0.23	0.23	0.35	0.50
dSIA	0.23	0.26	0.34	0.44

Tabulated values are computed by subtracting ECMWF results from ARC MFC results. All values are in units of Mkm². Bottom row shows results for differences in sea ice area. Other rows shows area where the sea ice concentration differences fall inside the range given by the span in the leftmost column.

Map plots for SIC differences

| Forecast @+00h | Forecast @+24h | Forecast @+120h | Forecast @+216h |

Initialization state

| Forecast @+00h | Forecast @+24h | Forecast @+120h | Forecast @+216h |

| Forecast @+00h | Forecast @+24h | Forecast @+120h | Forecast @+216h |

ARC MFC 1 day forecast

| Forecast @+00h | Forecast @+24h | Forecast @+120h | Forecast @+216h |

| Forecast @+00h | Forecast @+24h | Forecast @+120h | Forecast @+216h |

ARC MFC 5 day forecast

| Forecast @+00h | Forecast @+24h | Forecast @+120h | Forecast @+216h |

| Forecast @+00h | Forecast @+24h | Forecast @+120h | Forecast @+216h |

ARC MFC 9 day forecast

| Forecast @+00h | Forecast @+24h | Forecast @+120h | Forecast @+216h |

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